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According to the 14th edition of the Informat.ro – INSCOP Research BAROMETER, conducted between September 1 and 7, 2026, AUR leads voter preferences for the parliamentary elections, with a lead of approximately 20 percentage points over the next two parties – PSD and PNL – which are closely competing for second place.
The Informat.ro – INSCOP Research BAROMETER is a monthly public opinion survey conducted by INSCOP Research on behalf of the news platform Informat.ro, in partnership with the Strategic Thinking Group think tank.
The Informat.ro – INSCOP Research BAROMETER aims to bring issues of public interest to the forefront and stimulate nationwide conversations on a wide range of topics and public policies that are essential to Romania’s present and future, starting from the views of Romanian citizens and working in partnership with leading think tanks and academic institutions. Through this initiative, we seek to contribute to strengthening democracy by using scientific and credible research tools that place citizens’ voices at the center of public debate.
Methodology: The data were collected between September 1 and 7, 2026. Research method: questionnaire-based interviews. Data collection was carried out using CATI (Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviewing). The simple random sample consisted of 1,100 respondents and was representative of Romania’s non-institutionalized population aged 18 and over across key socio-demographic categories (gender, age and occupation). The maximum margin of error is ±2.95%, at a 95% confidence level.
Remus Ștefureac, Director of INSCOP Research: “The excessively prolonged political crisis, with all its economic, social and reputational costs, tends to flatten the electoral scores of the parties that made up the former governing coalition, with none of them exceeding the 20% threshold. While PNL recorded a significant increase in electoral support immediately after the no-confidence vote, the four months of caretaker government have eroded the electoral gains accumulated by the Liberals in that context, bringing them back to the levels recorded before the no-confidence vote. PSD and USR are stabilizing, with very slight gains, particularly among more mobilized voters, while AUR remains at around 40%.”
Estimated Turnout in Parliamentary Elections
On a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means they would “definitely not” vote and 10 means they would “definitely” vote, 17.8% of Romanians selected 1, 1.3% selected 2, 0.7% selected 3, 0.6% selected 4, 7.8% selected 5, 2.5% selected 6 and 3.7% selected 7. A further 3.5% selected 8, 3.5% selected 9 and 56.7% selected 10. 1.8% do not know or did not answer this question.
Voting Intention in Parliamentary Elections
Among respondents who expressed a preference for one of the parties on the list, regardless of whether or not they say they would definitely vote (70.6% of the total sample):
- AUR: 39.7% of voters would vote for AUR (compared with 38.2% in May 2026, 37% in April, 38% in March, 40.9% in January, 38% in November 2025, 40% in October, 40.8% in September, 40.5% in June and 38.1% in May).
- PSD: 18.7% would vote for PSD (compared with 17.5% in May 2026, 20.1% in April, 19.2% in March, 18.2% in January, 19.5% in November 2025, 17.6% in October, 17.9% in September, 13.7% in June and 17.4% in May).
- PNL: 16.3% would vote for PNL (compared with 20.3% in May 2026, 15.5% in April, 14.5% in March, 13.5% in January, 14.6% in November 2025, 14.8% in October, 15.2% in September, 17.3% in June and 16% in May).
- USR: 9% would vote for USR (compared with 10% in May 2026, 12.7% in April, 11.4% in March, 11.7% in January, 12.3% in November 2025, 11.5% in October, 12.8% in September, 13.1% in June and 12.2% in May).
- UDMR: 5.5% of voters would vote for UDMR (compared with 5% in May 2026, 4.3% in April, 4% in March, 4.9% in January, 4.8% in November 2025, 5.2% in October, 4% in September, 5.2% in June and 4.5% in May 2025).
- SENS: 4.1% would vote for SENS (compared with 2.5% in May 2026, 2.4% in April, 3.6% in March, 4% in January, 3.2% in November 2025, 3.4% in October, 2.1% in September and 2.4% in June).
- SOS România: 2.7% would vote for SOS România (compared with 2.9% in May 2026, 2.8% in April, 3.3% in March, 2.8% in January, 1.7% in November 2025, 2% in October, 2.8% in September and 1.9% in June).
- POT: 2.7% of voters would vote for POT (compared with 1.9% in May 2026, 3.6% in April, 3% in March 2026, 5% in January, 3.1% in November 2025, 2.6% in October, 3.3% in September and 4.2% in June).
- Independent: 1% express a preference for an independent candidate (compared with 0.9% in May 2026, 1% in April, 1.4% in March, 2% in January, 1% in November 2025, 1.3% in October, 0.6% in September and 1.4% in June).
- Other party: 0.3% of voters would vote for another party (compared with 0.9% in May 2026, 0.7% in April, 1.6% in March, 1.1% in January, 1.8% in November 2025, 1.6% in October, 0.6% in September and 0.5% in June).
Among respondents who expressed a preference for one of the parties on the list and said they would definitely vote (45% of the total sample):
40.2% of those who expressed a voting preference would vote for AUR (41.4% in May 2026), 17.2% for PNL (21.9% in May 2026), 16.4% for PSD (13.3% in May 2026) and 11.4% for USR (10.8% in May 2026). UDMR would receive 4.8% of the vote (3.4% in May 2026), SENS 4.8% (2.3% in May 2026), POT 2.2% (1.7% in May 2026), and SOS România 1.8% (3.1% in May 2026). 1% of respondents express a preference for an independent candidate (0.9% in May 2026), while 0.2% would vote for another party (1.1% in May 2026).
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