Download the graphic presentation: 16.04.2026 Barometru Informat.ro – Inscop – Razboiul din Iran
According to the Informat.ro – INSCOP Research BAROMETER, 9th edition, conducted between April 1–7 2026, more than half of Romanian’s believe that the economic effects of the war in Iran, such as rising fuel prices, will persist for a long period of time.
The Informat.ro – INSCOP Research BAROMETER is a monthly opinion poll conducted by INSCOP Research at the request of the news platform Informat.ro, in partnership with the Strategic Thinking Group think tank.
The Informat.ro – INSCOP Research BAROMETER aims to bring to public attention topics of interest to stimulate national conversations on diverse subjects and key public policies for Romania’s present and future, based on citizen’s opinions, in partnership with prestigious think tanks and academic institutions. It is an initiative intended to contribute to strengthening democracy by using scientific and credible tools that place citizen’s voices at the center of public debate.
Methodology: Data were collected between April 1–7 2026. Research method: questionnaire-based interviews. Data were collected using the CATI method (telephone interviews). The simple random sample included 1,100 respondents and is representative of the significant sociodemographic categories (gender, age, occupation) for Romania’s non-institutionalized population aged 18 and older. The maximum margin of error is ±3% at a 95% confidence level.
Remus Ștefureac, Director of INSCOP Research: “Data from the Informat.ro – INSCOP Barometer shows that Romanian’s combine a diffuse realism, indicated by the fact that the majority expect a longer conflict in the Middle East, with persistent economic anxiety. This suggests that the legitimacy of foreign policy will increasingly depend on the economic costs felt domestically. The data also reveals a divide between the urban, educated public – more informed and more skeptical about the effectiveness of Western military interventions – and a more disengaged public, characterized by a high level of uncertainty. The share of those who believe in the success of the US–Israel operations is higher than that of skeptics, but the level of confidence remains fragile. There is a visible erosion of strategic optimism, even within clearly pro-Western segments. At the same time, geopolitical perceptions are beginning to align along partisan lines, which may lead to an excessive anchoring of foreign policy in internal partisan/ideological disputes and preferences. This is a phenomenon that risks creating unprecedented challenges for long-term strategic coherence in Romania over the past three decades.”
The war in Iran
Duration of the war in Iran
16.6% of respondents believe that the war in Iran will last one month or less. 11% estimate a duration of 2–3 months, 11.1% between 3 and 6 months, 9.2% between 6 and 12 months, while 28.1% believe it will exceed 12 months. 24% do not know or cannot estimate.
Individuals aged 30 to 44, residents of Bucharest, and private sector employees believe in higher proportions than the rest of the population that the war in Iran will last more than one year. Those who do not know or cannot estimate the duration of the war in Iran are especially: AUR voters, individuals over the age of 60, those with primary education, and rural residents.
Economic effects of the war in Iran
7.2% of Romanian’s believe that the economic effects of the war in Iran, such as rising fuel prices, will disappear quickly once the conflict ends. 30.9% believe the effects will fade gradually over time, while 56.1% believe they will persist for a long period. The share of non-responses is 5.8%.
Those who believe that the economic effects will disappear quickly once the conflict ends in higher-than-average proportions include: individuals aged 30 to 44 and those with primary education. PNL and USR voters, women, young people under 30, individuals with higher education, residents of Bucharest and large urban areas, and public sector employees are more likely than the rest of the population to believe that the effects will disappear gradually. Those who believe the economic effects will persist for a long period in higher-than-average proportions include: PSD voters, men, and private sector employees.
Success of the military operation in Iran
46.7% of respondents believe that the United States and Israel will succeed in the military operation against Iran, while 35.4% hold the opposite view. 17.8% do not know or did not answer.
Those who believe the military operation against Iran will be successful in higher-than-average proportions include: PNL voters, men, young people under 30, and individuals with primary education. USR voters, individuals aged 45 to 59, those with higher education, and residents of Bucharest are more likely than the rest of the population to believe that the United States and Israel will not succeed in the military operation against Iran.
Download the graphic presentation: 16.04.2026 Barometru Informat.ro – Inscop – Razboiul din Iran
